Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.452898 0.523611 0.600885 0.691484 0.794675 0.908430 1.043213
2025-07-20 0.350529 0.450915 0.571653 0.727000 0.920961 1.154480 1.456229
2025-07-27 0.289012 0.402228 0.548300 0.749324 1.017354 1.360801 1.832356
2025-08-03 0.242664 0.360615 0.521903 0.756478 1.086416 1.530981 2.171754
2025-08-10 0.205605 0.323781 0.493854 0.753437 1.135856 1.673905 2.482304
2025-08-17 0.175199 0.290930 0.465423 0.743639 1.170930 1.795778 2.769860
2025-08-24 0.151279 0.263878 0.441109 0.735246 1.204478 1.915118 3.060446
2025-08-31 0.128556 0.235104 0.409857 0.711166 1.209433 1.989347 3.286171
2025-09-07 0.121140 0.230801 0.417159 0.749175 1.315332 2.226693 3.782631
2025-09-14 0.104960 0.208718 0.391683 0.728911 1.322447 2.305766 4.030522
2025-09-21 0.091271 0.189164 0.368044 0.708646 1.326503 2.378471 4.271417
2025-09-28 0.080043 0.172649 0.347758 0.691726 1.333893 2.455959 4.524419
2025-10-05 0.073924 0.165603 0.344656 0.706830 1.401458 2.644904 4.989226
2025-10-12 0.070712 0.164113 0.352114 0.742871 1.511224 2.917631 5.624481
2025-10-19 0.066352 0.159546 0.352850 0.765631 1.597545 3.154106 6.211356
2025-10-26 0.060957 0.151905 0.346341 0.772929 1.654085 3.339197 6.716216
2025-11-02 0.055268 0.142740 0.335465 0.769826 1.689143 3.485523 7.157471
2025-11-09 0.049679 0.132974 0.322087 0.759830 1.708871 3.603109 7.551101
2025-11-16 0.044837 0.124286 0.310028 0.751267 1.730445 3.725289 7.961521
2025-11-23 0.039469 0.113449 0.291725 0.726698 1.715339 3.772126 8.224116
2025-11-30 0.038628 0.114232 0.300776 0.765478 1.841449 4.116460 9.113819
2025-12-07 0.034358 0.105201 0.285121 0.744803 1.833371 4.180572 9.428972
2025-12-14 0.030564 0.096878 0.270176 0.724127 1.823160 4.238876 9.735140